FROM THE ECONOMIST INTELLIGENCE UNIT .
The market for computer equipment, which has grown faster than any other
segment of the consumer durables market in recent years, is set to continue its
rapid expansion over the forecast period, albeit at a slightly slower rate than
during the historical period. Corporate debt within the industry has been
slashed in recent years, while product innovation will continue to drive
consumer demand.
Corporate spending on information technology (IT) grew modestly in 2004 and
should remain firm over the next few years, reflecting the improved level of
business sentiment both in Austria and abroad. The sector likely to record the
strongest growth in corporate spending is corporate security systems and
software, as companies gear up to meet potential terrorist and IT threats.
Personal computer (PC) penetration, both at home and in offices, is expected to
increase over the forecast period, with lower prices, the increasing
availability of broadband Internet access, and the growing popularity of laptops
(especially among business customers) helping to boost demand. Sales of cheaper
consumer products such as digital cameras, MP3 music players, personal digital
assistants (PDAs) and the latest mobile (camera/ Internet) phones are also
expected to remain buoyant over the forecast period.
Austria has a modern telecommunications system. Telephone usage and related
services, such as use of the Internet, are widespread, despite (until recently)
high telephone costs. The overall number of fixed-line accounts of the former
monopolist, Telekom Austria (TA), has been on a steady decline since 1997.
Customers have moved over to relatively new access operators, such as United
Telecom Austria (UTA), or have migrated to the cable telephony services on offer
since 1999 by companies such as UPC Telekabel. Mobile substitution is also a
significant factor in the erosion of TA's public switched telephone network
(PSTN) subscriber base. Mobile subscriber penetration overtook that of fixed
lines as early as 1999 and now far outstrips the latter. With the mobile market
now approaching saturation, however, the decline in TA's and Austria's
narrowband subscriber base is expected to ease over the next few years and to
fall into a more graduated attrition pattern in subsequent years.
At the same time, the growth of broadband services, including digital
subscriber line (DSL) and cable Internet, is helping to set overall fixed
penetration levels back on a more stable path. In 2004 an estimated 21% of
households were connected to the Internet via some form of fixed (broadband)
network. The market for Internet access in Austria is currently undergoing a
period of rapid change, as customers switch from dial-up networks to high-speed
fixed access, and this trend will continue over the coming years.
In contrast to the projected decline in the number of fixed-line connections,
mobile telephony and related services should continue to grow over the forecast
period. The expansion in telecoms spending is forecast to outpace global GDP
growth over the coming years, driven mainly by the development of broadband and
voice over Internet protocol (VoIP) services and robust demand for the very
latest mobile phones. With the level of mobile penetration now at a high level
in Austria (an estimated 95% of the population in 2004), the growth rate of
mobile subscriptions is projected to slow over the forecast period, after the
rapid rate of expansion in the late 1990s. Nevertheless, it will still be
sustained by growth in multiple subscriptions, as consumers seek to take
advantage of numerous product offers.