A healthier addiction
From The Economist
print edition
Vinod Khosla, a
Silicon Valley billionaire, who wants to save the world from
oil
Landov
“I HAVE a religious
belief in the power of ideas propelled by entrepreneurial energy,” declares
Vinod Khosla. Coming from some businessmen such talk might sound self-serving or
plain nutty. But Mr Khosla helped to found Sun Microsystems, a company that
pioneered such essential bits of internet technology as network servers and
Java, a programming language. He then made his name and his fortune as a partner
at Kleiner Perkins, aSilicon
Valley venture-capital firm famous for its early investments in AOL,
Amazon, Compaq and Google.
His eyes have
now turned towards a new target—the oil industry. He and Stephen Bing, a
flamboyant Hollywood producer, are financing a campaign to get Californians to
endorse clean energy in a state-wide vote next November. “Californians for Clean
Energy” will need to get more than 500,000 signatures just to make it onto the
ballot. If it were then passed, its effect would be to increase taxes on
Californian oil production by up to $380m a year, eventually raising billions of
dollars for investments in clean energy. The plan is to help California cut its oil
use by one-quarter within a decade, thereby setting a powerful example for the
rest of the world.
Mr Khosla is
particularly enthused by “cellulosic” ethanol, a highly efficient way of making
fuel from agricultural waste. President Bush touted this new technology in his
recent state-of-the-union speech, suggesting that it may come to market in six
years. In typically impatient form, Mr Khosla wants to halve that gestation
period. Anyone who spends time with him is liable to be hit with his
well-researched but mind-numbing PowerPoint presentation on ethanol—unveiled
with the affection that some men reserve for pictures of their grandchildren.
Why is Mr Khosla
taking on this particular crusade, when he could concentrate on the technology
investments that have served him so well—or even opt for a gilded retirement?
Like many very rich men, he now wants to improve the world: “Just starting
another Sun doesn't do it for me any more.” As an engineer turned venture
capitalist, Mr Khosla has a healthy respect for the power of new technologies to
create disruptive innovations. And the free marketeer in him clearly relishes
the prospect of really taking on the big, rich and well-entrenched firms that
dominate the oil industry.
Another part of
the explanation lies in his complex relationship with India. Like
several of Silicon Valley's most successful
people, Mr Khosla boasts a degree from the Indian Institute of Technology. When
he tried to start a project to help the mother country, he was initially
frustrated by its bureaucracy and corruption. His first attempt to start a
traditional top-down charity failed, so he now funds only charities embracing
micro-enterprise approaches. A lesson he learned from India, he says,
is that one has to think big: “Unless you influence the lives of at least a
million people, it simply doesn't matter.”
His plan is to
use technology and entrepreneurship to tackle big social and environmental
problems: “In venture capital, we fail far more often than we succeed,” he says.
“I've decided that I'd better focus on taking on problems that really matter, so
that when I win it makes a difference to the world.” He likens his need to get
involved with worthy causes to a drug
addiction.
It is easy to
dismiss this enthusiasm as the irrelevant obsession of a rich hobbyist or the
harmless utopianism of a capitalist who has made his pile. But the big oil
companies are certainly not taking Mr Khosla lightly. The oil industry is
funding a lavish counter-campaign to his ballot initiative called “Californians
Against Higher Taxes”. Perhaps the best reason to take Mr Khosla seriously is
that his professional success and Republican leanings mean that he has the ears
of powerful people. He has been making the rounds, from the White House and
Capitol Hill to the World Economic Forum at Davos and the TED conference (a big
annual gathering for top venture capitalists), banging the drum for ethanol.
Before Larry Page, Google's co-founder, attended a recent TED conference in
Monterey, California, he was sceptical about ethanol.
After hearing Mr Khosla, he decided to help fund the cause. “When have you ever
seen greens, farmers and guys like me and Larry on the same page?” demands Mr
Khosla.
The power of price
So will his grand plan really work? Mr Khosla
is convinced that “this fuel is greener, cheaper, more secure than gasoline—and
this shift won't cost the consumer, automakers or the government anything.”
There are undoubted attractions to ethanol. But making the switch will surely
not be as easy or cheap as he suggests. Retail distribution is one obvious
problem: fewer than a thousand petrol stations in America sell the
most desirable blend of ethanol fuel today. Expanding infrastructure will cost
money and take time, and the oil industry is not exactly enthusiastic. And
cellulosic technology, which seems so promising today, may take much longer than
expected to achieve commercial scale, or might fail altogether.
What is more, the OPEC cartel is suspected by
some of engineering occasional price collapses to bankrupt investment in
alternative energy. Mr Khosla concedes that after he made his ethanol pitch at
this year's Davos meeting, a senior Saudi oil official sweetly reminded him that
it costs less than a dollar to lift a barrel of Saudi oil out of the ground,
adding: “If biofuels start to take off we will drop the price of
oil.”
Anticipating this problem, Mr Khosla is
lobbying politicians in Washington, DC, to impose a tax on crude oil if the price
falls below $40 a barrel to safeguard investments in ethanol. Even if—surprise,
surprise—Congress refuses to raise taxes, Mr Khosla insists that alternative
energy must ultimately prosper. Given his record as a venture capitalist, it
would be foolish to dismiss his latest bet on the future.
SOURCE: THE ECONOMIST
|